San Diego Housing Bubble

Research, links and misc data on the San Diego real estate market & housing bubble

Tuesday, August 30, 2005

Misc. stats on San Diego Real Estate Market

Some interesting stats - units for sale (per ziprealty.com):
YOY Monthly:
July 04 = 9250
July 05 = 12450

Some daily numbers for this month:
08/08 = 14,450
08/11 - 14,502
08/12 - 14,548
08/14 - 14,682
08/17 - 14,722
08/18 - 14,771
08/19 - 14,831
08/22 - 14,906
08/23 - 14,949
08/24 - 15,020
08/25 - 15,068
08/26 - 15,121
08/27 - 15,171
08/28 - 15,151
08/29 - 15,151*
08/30 - 15,204

* This is the first decrease I've seen since I started daily tracking. We'll have to see if this is momentary or not...

46 Comments:

  • At 3:31 PM, Blogger Uncle Git said…

    Looks like the "housing shortage" is about to become a "housing surplus".

    It's going to be very ugly here indeed then this one finally heads south.

     
  • At 9:54 PM, Blogger webwerker said…

    This post has been removed by a blog administrator.

     
  • At 9:55 PM, Blogger webwerker said…

    Yep - and that's before you start counting the 7000 condos under construction downtown and the many many other new developments across the county.

    Time to hunker down and watch the fireworks...

     
  • At 8:52 AM, Blogger Rainman18 said…

    And I'm assuming that these numbers don't reflect FSBO's. I don't know about you but I've seen a lot of For Sale signs sprouting up like weeds that don't get listed in the MLS.

     
  • At 9:47 AM, Blogger webwerker said…

    No those numbers are only what is in the MLS so they would not include FSBOs. But the historical numbers would also exclude FSBOs as well so the percentage increase should be relevent in any case.

    I'm sure that FSBOs are increasing - the question is: Is there a higher percentage of FSBOs on the market now then historically?? I don't know where we could gather that data.

     
  • At 4:58 AM, Blogger flat said…

    is there a market in the US that is not exp inventory build

     
  • At 12:22 PM, Blogger Bubble_Contagion said…

    I have been tracking SD inventory numbers in Realtor.com. The data is from a subset so the numbers are smaller but they reflect the same trend.

    8/01 5564
    8/02 5560
    8/03 5612
    8/04 5638
    8/15 5638
    8/17 5670
    8/19 5672
    8/22 5729
    8/24 5731
    8/26 5843

     
  • At 1:11 PM, Blogger webwerker said…

    I've been tracking Pacific Beach (92109) off and on as well and it appears to be hovering just under 200 units on the market.

    08/11 - 188
    08/25 - 196

    I've seen a few more FSBO signs around but we're not seeing a runup in inventory like there is city-wide. Must be patient... must be patient..

     
  • At 1:08 PM, Blogger ocrenter said…

    tracking homes on ziprealty and realtor.com. generally homes that are "inactive" on ziprealty secondary to pending sale or backup offer are still on realtor.com, only when the home close escrow would its listing be pulled from realtor.com.

    interesting thing is that all of the "inactive" homes I have been tracking are no longer on the realtor.com site even just a few days after their "inactive" status.

    Does this mean these homes are just pulled from the market?

     
  • At 9:25 PM, Blogger David said…

    I added your great blog to my housing bubble blog.

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    check out :

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  • At 4:17 PM, Blogger (the real) amoney said…

    Inventory usually declines from
    mid October until about early
    February. I tracked the numbers
    since the start of 2004, plus I
    saw a chart (maybe piggington?)
    that showed it over a number of
    years, and its always does that.
    If it doesnt this year, that would
    be significant, in addition to the
    fact that inventory has tripled in
    the past 18 months in SD.

     
  • At 4:37 AM, Blogger ocrenter said…

    Tracking San Diego County

    Population 2005: 3 million
    Listing per population ratio 7/29: 1:211
    Listing per population ratio 10/25: 1:182

    Population 1995: 2.66 million
    Listing per population ratio 7/1995: 1:140

    7/29: 14,176
    8/11: 14,500
    8/19: 14,829
    8/31: 15,240
    9/10: 15,496
    9/20: 15,708
    9/30: 16,081
    10/10: 16,170
    10/20: 16,420
    10/25: 16,458
    10/28: 16,439

    courtesy of ziprealty.com

    "Currently there are over 15,774 homes on the market in San Diego. This is a huge increase over the all-time low of 2,301 homes in March 2004. To put this all in perspective, the record high inventory of 19,000 homes was reached in July 1995 when massive layoffs and a laborious recession forced 1000's workers to exit San Diego." Realty Times 10/24/05

    bubbletracking.blogspot.com

     
  • At 8:24 AM, Blogger aajkal21 said…

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  • At 1:01 PM, Blogger sdcoastal said…

    Hi: Interesting blog. I’ll save it in my favorites. I too have a blog about San Diego downtown condos . Through this site you can view every San Diego mls listing offered for sale. Another new site is about San Diego vacation attractions Our third site is, guess what? Yes, also about San Diego. This site is an information site devoted to San Diego cosmetic surgery doctors. Needless to say, please stop by and visit our sites. Thanks Bob

     
  • At 1:01 PM, Blogger sdcoastal said…

    Hi: Interesting blog. I’ll save it in my favorites. I too have a blog about San Diego downtown condos . Through this site you can view every San Diego mls listing offered for sale. Another new site is about San Diego vacation attractions Our third site is, guess what? Yes, also about San Diego. This site is an information site devoted to San Diego cosmetic surgery doctors. Needless to say, please stop by and visit our sites. Thanks Bob

     
  • At 5:49 PM, Blogger aajkal18 said…

    Now a days more and more people are presenting their properties on the Internet, where the buyers are searching online its called as For Sale By Owner . The majority of purchasers check the Internet before they buy. This is the main media for selling your home or property. Photographs of your home, both inside and out, can be included so that the buyers can take a look around FSBO From Cris Rock

     
  • At 7:57 PM, Blogger (the real) amoney said…

    I found the site that shows the
    cyclical nature of RE listings in
    SD county. Scroll down here:
    http://www.rereport.com/sdcsc/

    It clearly shows starting last
    summer (I saw this first hand as I
    sold in June 2004) that inventory
    increased significantly. We also
    know from a recent article in the
    UT that foreclosures have increased
    year over year for the first time
    since 1996 (roughly the bottom of
    this cycle in terms of price).

     
  • At 3:04 PM, Blogger JayofBoulder said…

    Hi,

    I just read your article about the housing market. I'm the editor of a non-commercial blog focused on the stock market. Yesterday I posted an article about how to profit from a slowdown in the housing sector.

    I hope you can take a look at it. If you want to link to it, that would be great (It's a new blog). I'm not selling anything (except maybe some free publicity). I promise or you may spam me to death!

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  • At 8:02 AM, Blogger HomePriceMaps.com said…

    www.HomePriceMaps.com/sandiego.htm integrates how much homes SOLD for in San Diego as well as nationwide using the google mapping technology. If you don't see data for your area simply email HomePriceMaps@gmail.com with your zipcode and or address and they'll update the site and email you within a few days.

     
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  • At 3:19 PM, Blogger Housing Boom Gone Bust said…

    It certainly wasn't momentary, but everyone can be a Monday morning quarterback.

     
  • At 5:01 PM, Blogger Brian Joss said…

    There is a new step by step manual just published to help the for sale by owner.
    It's written by a guy that I've sold two homes through. He's retiring and he sent me a copy when I contacted him about selling again.
    I know, I got it for free (not really as Iv'e paid out over $38,000 in commissions!) but, it's dynamite. The only difference between listing with him and following the steps is his contacts, but for another $22,000 this time, I can do without that. It even comes with special software to track the escrow and closing with reminders as to when and what to do.
    Check it out at his site FSBO.He even lets you read the first chapter for free AND gives a money back guarantee.

     
  • At 12:30 PM, Blogger Sven said…

    This is a nice blog. I'll definitely have to borrow some of this information for my blog as well. Right now, I think we are still seeing the biggest hits in the outlying areas and in downtown, but I think the inland areas are going to really start bleeding equity soon. Keep up the posting!

     
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